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Fed Governor Waller says the FOMC's rate rise lifted the policy rate to 3.75 to 4 percent

On 8 October 2026 Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller gave a speech titled "The Signaling Value of the Summary of Economic Projections".
In September the FOMC raised the policy rate 25 basis points to 3.75 to 4 percent, ending nine months of holding steady.
He said August core PCE inflation was 0.25 percent for the month and 3 percent over 12 months.
In the Summary of Economic Projections, 16 of 18 participants expected at least one more hike this year.
Waller named the Middle East conflict and high energy prices, the AI buildout and trade-related tariffs as upward pressures on prices.

Policy rate: 3.75 to 4 percent September hike: 25 basis points SEP participants expecting another hike: 16 of 18 August core PCE, 12-month: 3 percent
Why it matters for exams: Policy-rate moves of the US Federal Reserve move global capital flows and the rupee, so exams ask about FOMC, basis points and PCE.
UPSCSSCBank
8 October 2026 Source: Federal Reserve Board

In plain words

FOMC Federal Open Market Committee — The Federal Reserve committee that votes on the policy rate.

Basis point One hundredth of a percentage point — A 25 basis point move equals 0.25 percentage point.

PCE Personal Consumption Expenditures — The price index the Federal Reserve uses to judge its 2 percent inflation goal.

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